Antropologiske betraktninger om pelshvaldrift

Month: August 2023

John Mearsheimer

Mr. Mearsheimer, who is a prominent expert on international relations, cf. Britannica, has been relatively uncommunicative since 2022, after the war he had warned about ever since 2014, started. Maybe he did not want to tell us “I told you so”. Or was his case perhaps one of not being allowed to tell us?

Like Jeffrey Sachs, Patrick Lawrence, Chris Hedges and other noted independent journalists, he has been forced to turn to the alternative media.

Here I merely wish to direct your attention to the Aaron Maté of the Greyzone’s interview with him on July 30 2023: The interview bears the title
John Mearsheimer: Ukraine war is a long-term danger“.

John Mearsheimer was right in 2014. He was right in early 2022. I think he may be right now. So I think we should listen to him. (There is a transcript of the text under the video link.)

Quoting Kissinger

To be an enemy of the United States is dangerous. To be a friend of the United States is fatal”

Henry Kissinger

Indeed. In the wake of the Ukraine debacle, many of us are beginning to understand the statement. Here in Europe, all states, including Ukraine, are seeing an unprecedented rise in the cost of living due, mainly, to the sanctions regime, which is hitting us harder than it is hitting Russia.

Meanwhile, US hawks are starting to panic. True, the Ukraine war has consolidated NATO in a big way, and entrenched Russophobia in the West. But as several mainstream foreign policy commentators have warned, the US is loosing its grip on much of the rest of the world. Third world countries no longer take kindly to US and European bullying, financially or otherwise. They resent coercive methods aimed at ensuring support for the US in its conflict with Russia/China. They resent an intricate network of sanctions. In short: The Ukraine debacle is turning into a tectonic shift, as fault lines spread in new and unexpected directions. All of which will not be news to you, I am sure.

Moreover, African states have long suspected that what was denominated “aid” by Western Powers wasn’t really aid at all, rather the opposite.

Again I urge you to listen to (or read) a discussion between three economists about the causes of third world debt here and here. Only if we understand how deliberately imposed financial impediments are hampering development in third-world countries, can we understand the growing anger.

Niger, however is not tied to the dollar, but to the CFA frank, a freak frank as it were. See in this article from Greyzone, under the last sub-heading “ECOWAS as a neocolonial weapon”, how CFA has a stranglehold on Nigerien economy.

What interests me today, however, is how the US is responding to this growing resentment and assertiveness on the part of third-world countries.

There is, for instance, ongoing US pressure

Meanwhile:

There is growing awareness, in alternative media, of USA’s noxious interference in other countries’ affairs. Mainstream media’s grip is starting to slip a little even in the West. We are seeing a mushrooming of alternative online media that are challenging the virulently belligerent pro-US narrative. Even film makers are starting to grumble, e.g. David Bradbury with his “Road to War“.

What particularly raises concerns in the West, in spite of the Russo/Sino-phobia that is so eagerly fanned by mainstream media, is the massive, ongoing military build-up, and its seemingly inevitable corollary: nuclear war. People, for instance in Australia, are beginning to ponder the following question: If the mainstream media in the USA and EU hate Russia and China that much, do we not have more to fear from the USA and EU than from Russia and China?

And if protecting a “rules-based” order is so costly, in terms of the dent made in tax paying households’ economies and, not least, for our environment and hence future generations, is the “rules-based order” really worth fighting for?

… quite apart from the fact that the said order is anything but rules-based. It is based, inter alia, on diplomacy which is a euphemism for coercion. I hasten to add, that while tact and good manners – the essence of diplomacy, we were told – certainly are assets in the upper echelons of the Corps Diplomatique, they are not indispensable. Bribes, however, are indispensable and threats, and the means to effectuate them. Besides, diplomacy relies not only on well-dressed patricians: Anyone who has seen a reasonably decent Hollywood spy film, will know that part of the game is carried out by professional killers and their ilk.

So yes: to be an enemy of the United States is dangerous. To be a friend of the United States is fatal

Five minutes of foreign policy

What’s going on in Niger? I wonder. My next thought is: How strange the press is! Today, I’ve checked AP, Reuters and Al Jazeera – these are the most common sources that feed local papers in the West about situations in places to which a news outlet may not be able to send its own correspondents. Naturally, I have also checked my own country’s national broadcasting company, and the one daily paper I tend to follow.

They all say the same thing: The army has deposed the president of Niger, who is now a prisoner in his palace. The new president is a general. In other words a coup. There is some uncertainty as to whether the French are planning military intervention. There is universal condemnation of the coup. Some countries are evacuating their citizens from Niger. Most countries are suspending aid to Niger and even contemplating sanctions.

Period.

What they don’t explain is: Why has there been a military coup in Niger? Well, yes, of course the military is dissatisfied, but why?

By the way, in case you were wondering, the demonym for Niger is Nigerien, as opposed to Nigerian. Hear the pronunciation here. And you might look up the pronunciation of Niger, while you’re at it. No, I did not know it, not until just now, which just goes to show, not only how ignorant I am, but also how forlornly anonymous Niger is.

So how come many sources fail to explain why western leaders are worried about an imprisoned president whose name they probably don’t even remember? After all, he’s imprisoned in a palace. Julian Assange’s plight in Belmarsh Prison is far, far worse.

Take a look at this LA Times article of 31 July, for instance: Not a word – NOT ONE WORD – about the uranium deposits tersely mentioned in Britannica:

Niger’s known reserves of uranium rank among the most important in the world, and the country is one of the world’s top 10 leading producers of uranium.

https://www.britannica.com/place/Niger/Economy

 Or the oil deposits.

There were intensive exploration activities on the Agadem block between 2008 and 2017, when the CNPC drilled 166 exploration wells, enabling the discovery of 106 new oil deposits containing 2P recoverable reserves of 815m barrels. The petroleum is high quality with an API gravity of 30 degrees and a very low sulphur content.

https://african.business/2021/11/energy-resources/niger-an-attractive-nation-with-an-emerging-oil-industry

CNPC, by the way is China. China has found that Niger’s oil reserves are so important that they are building a pipeline to export 90,000 barrels pr day.

The Niger–Benin pipeline, measuring 1950km and connecting the Agadem block in eastern Niger to the Beninese side of Sèmé, will be the longest pipeline in Africa. The construction work began on 5 July 2021.

Ibid

The Nigerians must be filthy rich. Actually, uranium isn’t all that expensive, but still.

So I can just imagine why there has been a coup. I guess you can too. And I can just imagine why France already has at least 1,500 troops and a drone base in Niger, and why the US has at least 1,100 troops and two drone bases in Niger. Why, surely everybody understands that it’s the most natural thing in the world for the US to protect people from themselves here there and everywhere, and for French troops to be just casually hanging around in former colonies. After all, the US and France are democracies, i.e. rule-of-law and can-do-no-harm-countries, as opposed, of course, to China and Russia that are both do-no-good-countries.

All for now.

Addendum on 2 August 2023:
An article by Vijay Prashad and Kambale Musavuli answers my questions.

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